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    Who am I to tell you what interactions with law enforcement are like for black people all across the country? On the Falls Road side, you might expect to see Irish flags - and there are some - but there are actually more Palestinian flags or images of Spain’s Basque country. We’re going to really take good care of those people beyond what any country has done for people. That can take generations - if it’s even possible. A popular activity for visitors is to take one of these Black Cab Tours of the Peace Walls where a local will explain the whole story. The first walls were erected in 1969 and there are whole generations in Belfast that have known nothing else but these large concrete divisions through the city’s society. But walls to limit mobility or trade are too simple a solution to a complex problem. Today, some of them are still locked at night to control movement.

    I support reform of our government, not a venture away from capitalism, the bringing back of integrity and checks and balances, not a social movement that is making a mockery of it's principals. A ceiling support may be needed for them. The walls that tried to separate the warring groups still stand, as a reminder of the past and a symbol of the present - that the violence may have pretty much stopped but the emotions that fuelled it are harder to demolish. great wall 99 built more than four decades ago to stop violence have played a part in achieving that aim. And so the walls remain. For those on the frontlines, the removal of the walls is not a popular idea. It’s now been 20 years since the official end of The Troubles - the Belfast Good Friday Agreement of 1998. There is some discussion about removing the walls but there is widespread disagreement about whether that’s a good idea.

    Sometimes the conflict is painted as a sectarian argument - between Protestants and Catholics - but it’s really all about politics. However, because of continuing conflict with Native Americans, it was soon realized that it was necessary to field a trained standing army. However, these murals have become a tourist attraction in themselves and that raises the awareness of the conflict and the feelings of the communities on both sides. It may seem odd to treat this as a tourist attraction - and it is certainly wise to be sensitive to the issues - but I believe that it’s only by learning about these kinds of issues that we may be able to prevent more ‘troubles’ in the future. They also insisted that Shimuzhila’s death and the government’s deteriorating finances were linked, and that Zambia’s financial strain was undermining higher education and dampening their hopes for the future. And that includes not just economics; that also includes life and death.

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  • Japanese 10-year "JGB" yields dropped four bps to negative 0.07% (down 7bps y-t-d). France's CAC40 dropped 2.5% (up 11.4%). The German DAX equities index fell 2.8% (up 7.6%). Spain's IBEX 35 equities index declined 1.5% (up 7.7%). Italy's FTSE MIB index added 0.2% (up 15.0%). EM equities were mixed. Small Time Deposits added $2.1bn. Japan's Nikkei 225 equities index added 0.8% (up 8.1% y-t-d). German bund yields traded to 0.57% in early-October before reversing course and ending the year at 0.24%. After trading as low as 15 bps on January 3rd, bund yields closed this week at 26 bps (up 2bps y-t-d). January 31 - Reuters (Jan Strupczewski and Francesco Guarascio): “Inflation in the euro zone has risen to just below the European Central Bank's target, economic growth is accelerating at greater speed than in the United States, and unemployment has hit a more than seven-year low. July 17 - Reuters (Vikram Subhedar and Valentina Za): “Italian banks could take 10 years to reduce their level of non-performing loans (NPLs) to the European average, Morgan Stanley said…

    Southern California home sales hit the brakes in June, falling to the lowest reading for the month in four years. Yield curves (at home and abroad) are more about market dynamics and prospective monetary policy than the real economy. For the week on the upside, the Japanese yen increased 1.4%, the Swiss franc 0.9%, the South Korean won 0.6%, the Mexican peso 0.6%, the New Zealand dollar 0.5% and the Singapore dollar 0.1%. For the week on the downside, the Brazilian real declined 2.4%, the Canadian dollar 0.7%, the South African rand 0.7%, the British pound 0.6%, the Swedish krona 0.5%, the Norwegian krone 0.3% and the euro 0.2%. The Offshore Chinese renminbi slipped 0.07% versus the dollar this week (up 2.39% y-t-d). Federal Reserve Credit last week declined $3.5bn to $3.928 TN. From the above Bloomberg article: “Federal Reserve policy makers have concluded that when in doubt, do no harm.” Maybe the Fed, trying too hard to compensate for December, is Doing Harm to market stability. With this in mind, it’s not difficult to get quite concerned for the stability of global bond markets, along with securities, derivatives and asset markets more generally. And with the Fed apparently turning its focus to persistently undershooting consumer price inflation, it is reasonable to assume it’s only a matter of time until the Fed resorts once again to QE.

    The Tainjin explosion comes at an inopportune time for already waning confidence in Chinese policymaking. April 30 - Bloomberg (John Gittelsohn): “What’s frothier than the Chinese stock market? Chinese officials have shifted their stance because after agreeing to changes to their intellectual-property policies, they haven’t received assurances from the Trump administration that tariffs imposed on their exports would be lifted… They have manipulated interest rates, imposed zero rates on savings and forced savers into the risk markets. Recent flare-ups in political risk in emerging markets weakened their currencies and helped send returns on carry trades -- borrowing in locales with relatively low interest rates and investing the proceeds in places where they’re higher -- tumbling from the highest in a year. March 19 - Financial Times (Peter Wells): “If you thought the equity market looked calm at the moment, it can’t hold a candle to foreign exchange, where levels of volatility are hovering around their lowest levels since 2014. Diminished expectations for US interest rate rises this year have helped drive measures of equity market volatility lower in recent months, subsequently propping up stocks, and also pushed down currency market volatility.

    Or perhaps the big story of the week was that Fed Uber-Dovishness pushed global bond markets and fixed-income derivatives toward dislocation. February 15 - Wall Street Journal (Yaroslav Trofimov): “Here’s what happened in Syria over the past week or so. March 21 - Financial Times (Joe Rennison): “The primary measure of the US yield curve watched by the Federal Reserve has fallen to its lowest level since 2007, after a policy shift by the central bank has raised fears over the outlook for the US economy. In recent years, the Federal Reserve has provided the stimulus that austerity-minded fiscal policy makers didn't. From Reuters (Kevin Yao and Lusha Zhang): “The announcement came just hours after Premier Li Keqiang said China would take further action to bolster the economy, including reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and more cuts in taxes and fees, highlighting the urgency to cope with increasing headwinds. In reality, the banking system came to hold Reserves at the Fed as banks created new deposits for customers in exchange for Fed liquidity. September 12 - Politico (Colin Wilhelm and Aaron Lorenzo): “Congressional Republicans came back to Washington ready and eager to work on tax reform, but they’re still missing one thing: a plan.

    China is pushing back against American demands in trade talks, according to people familiar with the negotiations… Now with markets abuzz with talk of central bank monetary policy ‘normalization,’ those concerns are once again front of mind: Without the fire blanket of ECB government bond-buying, will Italian borrowing costs soar once again, plunging the eurozone back into crisis? great wall 99 reflect mounting imbalances plugged by free-flowing central bank "money." ECB sovereign debt purchases have so compressed interest-rate differentials that there is today insufficient incentive to hold Italian and other "periphery" debt. Hedge-fund and private-equity managers over the past year began piling into debt issued by troubled energy companies, hoping to profit off a reversal of oil’s slide. Over the past year, Fed Credit contracted $32.8bn (down 0.7%). Fed Credit inflated $1.604 TN, or 57%, over the past 217 weeks. Over the past year, Fed Credit contracted $433bn, or 9.9%. Fed Credit inflated $1.117 TN, or 40%, over the past 332 weeks.

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